Prof. Sir David Spiegelhalter FRS OBE (University of Cambridge)
Chance, luck, and ignorance; how to put our uncertainty into numbers We all have to live with uncertainty about what is going to happen, what has happened, and why things turned out how they did. We attribute good and bad events as ‘due to chance’, label people as ‘lucky’, and (sometimes) admit our ignorance. I will show how to use the […]